The Philadelphia Phillies (-130) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+110) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Phillies are 56-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 40-46 ATS.
Phillies vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 9-4, 2.75 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 7-2, 3.09 ERA
Phillies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+19.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+17.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rafael Marchan has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 games (+12.00 Units / 200% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+12.60 Units / 90% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 70 games (+24.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 68 games (+23.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 67 games (+19.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 69 games (+15.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 68 games (+14.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+16.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 games at home (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 46-39 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 5.94% ROI).
- 56-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +12 Units / 8.4% ROI
- 37-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -11.34% ROI
- 43-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 2.36% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 40-46 against the Run Line (-15.9 Units / -13.24% ROI).
- 39-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.65 Units / -9.25% ROI
- 37-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -14.18% ROI
- 46-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 5.7% ROI
Cubs vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Edmundo Sosa (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cubs vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Edmundo Sosa (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Edmundo Sosa (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -160 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .456 (193 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .656 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (22-for-219) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 98th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,380/3,247) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .163 (22-for-135) against Zack Wheeler when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .506 (135 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (87/249) against Shota Imanaga this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has walked 3 of 131 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has walked 14 of 348 batters (4%) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.