The Philadelphia Phillies (-140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Phillies vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Phillies are 81-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 71-77 ATS.
Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+14.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+14.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games at home (+10.15 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -3000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Cardinals vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taijuan Walker | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
| Dakota Hudson | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -175 |
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 65-83 against the Run Line (-25.1 Units / -13.75% ROI).
- 81-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -3.22% ROI
- 65-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -7.92% ROI
- 71-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.25% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 71-77 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -6.46% ROI).
- 65-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.2 Units / -17.06% ROI
- 70-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.15 Units / -4.98% ROI
- 71-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -3.45% ROI
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 58% (404/699) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (30/179) against Taijuan Walker on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (230/1,097) against Taijuan Walker this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (564/1,284) against Taijuan Walker this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — sixth Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (170/851) against Dakota Hudson since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 62% (1,438/2,302) against right-handed batters in 2022 — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (115 SO in 881 PAs) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.