The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Phillies are 5-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-4 ATS.

Phillies vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 0-1, 0.75 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Phillies vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 away games (+10.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.70 Units / 36% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+8.85 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.85 Units / 65% ROI)
• Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 75% ROI)
• Kyle Gibson has hit the Earned Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.40 Units / 63% ROI)
• Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 49% ROI)
• Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.35 Units / 73% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -4.23% ROI).

• 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -11.23% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -5.38% ROI
• 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -4.15% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 7-4 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 29% ROI).

• 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.4% ROI
• 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -10.46% ROI
• 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 6.53% ROI

Cardinals vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler located 44% of his pitches inside (277/624) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown fastballs 78% of the time (74/95) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler’s has 7 strikeouts and no walks vs left-handed batters this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.9 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,658/3,869) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .116 (23 Total Bases / 199 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 100th Percentile.

15 of Sonny Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2023 season — tied for 5th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 90th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .175 (47 Total Bases / 269 ABs) on sliders since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .383 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray allowed a slugging percentage of just .226 (77 Total Bases / 340 ABs) on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 99th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
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