Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 17
Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 17

The Philadelphia Phillies (-135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+115) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Phillies are 90-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 79-71 ATS.

Phillies vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 15-6, 2.62 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 7-10, 4.49 ERA

Phillies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 37 of his last 49 games (+13.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 24 away games (+11.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 46 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 50 games (+32.40 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+20.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+17.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Frankie Montas has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 24 games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 58 games (+18.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 91 games (+14.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 60 away games (+7.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.25 Units / 27% ROI)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 77 of their last 146 games (+13.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 87 of their last 150 games (+12.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games at home (+11.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games at home (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 73-77 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -3.7% ROI).

  • 90-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 1.19% ROI
  • 70-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -6.59% ROI
  • 73-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -2.67% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 79-71 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 2.24% ROI).

  • 87-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 6.57% ROI
  • 78-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.8 Units / 6.59% ROI
  • 62-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -24 Units / -14.45% ROI

Brewers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Rhys Hoskins (MIL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Willy Adames (MIL) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Brewers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Trea Turner (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Brice Turang (MIL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Brewers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Brewers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Frankie Montas (MIL) 5.5 -110 5.5 -120
Zack Wheeler (PHI) 7.5 +115 7.5 -150

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .196 (326 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .156 (48-for-308) against Zack Wheeler this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an OPS of just .430 (327 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .150 (35-for-234) against Zack Wheeler versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Frankie Montas has struck out 50% (10/20) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .100 (4-for-40) against Frankie Montas in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .083 (2-for-24) against Frankie Montas in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .214 — 98th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has walked 4 of 20 left-handed batters (20%) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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