The Philadelphia Phillies (+115) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-140) on Wednesday, October 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:35pm EDT in Atlanta for Game 2 of the NL Division Series.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Phillies vs Braves Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 90-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 83-80 ATS.
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s NLDS matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 49 away games (+19.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 48 of his last 81 games (+14.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 away games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 38 of his last 76 games (+11.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 79 of his last 112 games (+20.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+16.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 85 of his last 151 games (+15.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+14.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 44 of his last 71 games (+12.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 137 games (+26.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 78 of their last 113 games (+23.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+12.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games at home (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 85-80 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 0.79% ROI).
- 90-75 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.25% ROI
- 83-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.27% ROI
- 76-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.15 Units / -7.83% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 83-80 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -3.17% ROI).
- 101-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.85 Units / 3.91% ROI
- 81-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.41% ROI
- 74-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.95 Units / -8.38% ROI
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,718/3,886) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (192 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH against his fastballs since the start of last season (610 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (436/1,007) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (149/240) against Kyle Wright this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (275/501) against Kyle Wright this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Kyle Wright has induced opposing hitters to ground into 26 double plays in 145 opportunities (18%) since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (108/188) against Kyle Wright in two-strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 95th Percentile.