Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 3

The Philadelphia Phillies (+110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-135) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Phillies vs Braves Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 55-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 54-50 ATS.

Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 43 away games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+15.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 away games (+12.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 52 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 64 of his last 92 games (+20.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 92 games (+19.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 61 games (+18.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 90 games (+16.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 31% ROI)

Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Matt Olson 0.5 +280 0.5 -450

Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Matt Olson 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Matt Olson 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Morton 6.5 +100 6.5 -145
Zack Wheeler 6.5 -130 6.5 -105

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+12.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 98 games (+11.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 78 games (+21.02 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 54 games (+16.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 96 games (+7.50 Units / 6% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 53-50 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 2.61% ROI).

  • 55-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.8% ROI
  • 53-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 2.34% ROI
  • 46-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -10.58% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 54-50 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI).

  • 63-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 2.08% ROI
  • 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.44% ROI
  • 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -8.12% ROI

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,502/3,392) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (555/1,304) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH on the road since the start of last season (383 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (375/858) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.

Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 15 of 116 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 42 of 466 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.

Charlie Morton has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (264/467) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (433/1,121) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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