The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-110) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Phillies are 74-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 56-70 ATS.

Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 9-8, 3.43 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 4-6, 4.05 ERA

Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 34 games (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 52% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+10.40 Units / 14% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+22.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 games (+21.20 Units / 151% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+19.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+19.05 Units / 33% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+15.70 Units / 21% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 away games (+12.95 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 111 games (+11.80 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 109 games (+8.05 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 76 games (+4.65 Units / 6% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 71 of their last 112 games (+29.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 62-64 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -2.93% ROI).

• 74-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -1.21% ROI
• 58-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -8.42% ROI
• 63-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -0.8% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 56-70 against the Run Line (-17.45 Units / -11.56% ROI).

• 67-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.4 Units / -10.99% ROI
• 47-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.45 Units / -24.34% ROI
• 74-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.05 Units / 15.76% ROI

Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (108/174) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (258/438) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (173/269) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez has allowed a slugging percentage of .580 (40 Total Bases / 69 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — fifth Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Schwellenbach has struck out 47% (19/40) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Spencer Schwellenbach when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .245 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .423 (11-for-26) against Spencer Schwellenbach when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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