The Philadelphia Phillies (-110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-110) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Phillies are 73-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 55-70 ATS.

Phillies vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 11-6, 3.48 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 7-7, 3.62 ERA

Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 33 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 away games (+9.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+9.40 Units / 13% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games (+22.20 Units / 171% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+20.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+19.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+18.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+14.70 Units / 20% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 110 games (+13.00 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+11.80 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 108 games (+9.05 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 66 games (+8.80 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 away games (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 111 games (+28.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.90 Units / 10% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 62-63 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -2.28% ROI).

• 73-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -1.71% ROI
• 58-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -7.75% ROI
• 62-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -1.53% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 55-70 against the Run Line (-18.45 Units / -12.36% ROI).

• 67-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.3 Units / -10.51% ROI
• 47-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.45 Units / -23.78% ROI
• 73-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.05 Units / 15.18% ROI

Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting .447 (17-for-38) against Aaron Nola this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (352/1,019) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (147/454) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .207 (156-for-753) against Aaron Nola when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 95th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .588 (10-for-17) against Max Fried when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .221 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .588 (10-for-17) against Max Fried when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .232 — second Percentile.

Max Fried has walked 4 of 18 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an OBP of .611 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .295 — second Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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