The Philadelphia Phillies (+185) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Phillies vs Braves Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 55-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 53-50 ATS.
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 53-49 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 3.44% ROI).
- 55-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.07% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.47% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.95 Units / -9.75% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 53-50 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -0.81% ROI).
- 62-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 1.53% ROI
- 51-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -1.32% ROI
- 48-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -7.27% ROI
Nicholas Nelson: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Nelson has a strike rate of just 60% (481/806) this season — tied for 11th lowest among among 214 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.
Nick Nelson has walked 14 of 108 right-handed batters (13%) this season — 12th highest among among 102 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (42/123) against Nick Nelson this season — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 91st Percentile.
Nick Nelson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 33.2 innings he’s appeared — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 60.0.
Spencer Strider: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .128 (18-for-141) against Spencer Strider on the road this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 100th Percentile.
64% of Spencer Strider’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 37% (120 SO in 323 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 40% (86 SO in 213 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.