The Philadelphia Phillies (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Saturday, November 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in Houston for this World Series game.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB postseason matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Phillies vs Astros Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 97-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 92-82 ATS.
Phillies vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Phillies vs Astros Prediction for Today’s World Series Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s World Series matchup with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today, World Series
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 54 away games (+19.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+16.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 54 away games (+13.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 47 away games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today, World Series
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 49 of his last 85 games at home (+19.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 43 games at home (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 43 games at home (+10.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 59 away games (+21.98 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 128 games (+17.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 70 of their last 127 games (+9.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 60 away games (+7.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.83 Units / 36% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 161 games (+31.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 99 of their last 172 games (+30.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 109 of their last 158 games (+27.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 155 games (+17.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 65 games at home (+11.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 91-84 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 0.8% ROI).
- 97-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 89-79 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.21% ROI
- 79-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -9.17% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 92-82 against the Run Line (+12.8 Units / 6.24% ROI).
- 116-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.75 Units / 7.52% ROI
- 63-100 when betting on the total runs Over for -45.6 Units / -23.92% ROI
- 100-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +30.2 Units / 15.67% ROI
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH against his fastballs since the start of last season (598 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (189 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH since the start of last season (936 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 88.6
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.4 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (172 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 87.9
Framber Valdez: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (372/555) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (119/174) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (394/825) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (312/459) against Framber Valdez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.