The Penn State Nittany Lions 0-0 visit Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers 0-0 on Aug. 31 in Morgantown, WV. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:0 0pm EDT.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Penn State vs. West Virginia Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Penn State vs West Virginia Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 72.8% confidence.
Penn State vs West Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 82.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and West Virginia, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 18% ROI)
West Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- West Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+9.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- West Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- West Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 35% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Bets Today
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 62% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for West Virginia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best West Virginia Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Garrett Greene has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Traylon Ray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Garrett Greene has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Hudson Clement has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State was 9-4 against the spread last college football season (+4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI).
- Penn State was 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 1.93% ROI
- Penn State was 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- Penn State was 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
West Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
West Virginia is 8-5 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 18.31% ROI).
- West Virginia was 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 36.1% ROI
- West Virginia was 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
- West Virginia was 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
Penn State is 11-4 (.733) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .409
Penn State is 17-3 (.708) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .432
Penn State is 17-4 (.810) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .574
Penn State is 14-2 (.824) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .494
West Virginia is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .565
West Virginia was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2023 season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .549
West Virginia was 8-4 (.615) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .503
West Virginia is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2022 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .292
West Virginia’s TEs had 37 receptions in 13 games (just 2.8 per game) last season — 5th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 15.3 receptions per game last season — T-4th-best among P5 defenses.
West Virginia’s WRs had just 153.7 receiving yards per game last season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 WRs. Penn State’s defense allowed just 173.3 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-best among Big Ten defenses.