The Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0) visit United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the USC Trojans (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Los Angeles, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Penn State vs. USC Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Penn State vs USC Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 65.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn State and USC, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Penn State vs USC Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 70.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 7% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
USC Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- USC has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- USC have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- USC has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Penn State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Penn State Player Prop Bets Today
- Drew Allar has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tyler Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for USC players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best USC Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Zachariah Branch has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Lake McRee has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Miller Moss has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Miller Moss has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Penn State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 17.02% ROI
- Penn State is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Penn State is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record
USC is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 44.94% ROI).
- USC is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 16.58% ROI
- USC is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -50% ROI
- USC is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 45.45% ROI
Penn State is 15-2 (.882) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .593
Penn State is 8-2 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-16th-best in FBS; Average: .543
Penn State is 14-1 (.933) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .793
Penn State is 15-1 (.938) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .688
USC is 10-3 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .616
USC is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .670
USC is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713
USC is undefeated (5-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .599
USC has 450 receptions in 18 games (25.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS skill players. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.
USC’s WRs has averaged 13.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big Ten WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.