The Pittsburgh Steelers host the New England Patriots on Thursday Night Football, as we make our best Patriots vs. Steelers NFL player props for Week 14 based on the best NFL odds.
The total for the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers is 30.5, the lowest posted in the NFL this season. The Patriots haven't allowed more than 10 points since Week 9, but they also haven't scored more than 10 in any game during that stretch.
The Steelers will turn to Mitch Trubisky under center after starting QB Kenny Pickett underwent ankle surgery earlier this week. Will he bring new life to their struggling offense?
In conjunction with our Patriots vs. Steelers prediction, here are our best Patriots vs. Steelers NFL player props for Week 14 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Patriots vs. Steelers NFL player props: Thursday Night Football
With Rhamondre Stevenson out, Elliott is among the few players who should have a solid performance on Thursday. The Steelers give up 121 rushing yards per game and allowed the Arizona Cardinals to put up 150 on them last week.
Even though the Patriots' offense is a disaster, the Steelers aren't good enough to pull away from them. In a close game, the Patriots' game plan should be not to make mistakes. Running the ball with Elliott is much safer than allowing Bailey Zappe or Mac Jones to throw.
Elliott has topped this number once all season so we wouldn't play this prop for a price worse than -110. Currently, the only way to get that is to use our bet365 bonus code: SBRBONUS.
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Multiple Zappe unders are worth taking on Thursday. The Patriots have scored one touchdown in their last three weeks combined. The Steelers allow just 19.1 points per game, so there is no guarantee that the Patriots even score in this game.
While you could consider taking Zappe's passing yards under, especially since he may not even finish this game, there is more value in taking his passing touchdowns Under. Our best sports betting apps have this price set at +100 or better for the Under, with DraftKings offering the best price.
Despite appearing in five games, Zappe has yet to throw a touchdown pass this season. With the offense averaging fewer than 300 yards per game, he may only get one or two red zone opportunities on Thursday. Nothing suggests he will take advantage of them.
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Pickens finished last week's game with four catches for 86 yards despite the Steelers' significant difficulties at the quarterback position. He's caught at least three passes in his last four games, including four in two of his previous three.
Because of how evenly distributed the targets have been for Pickens and Diontae Johnson when they're both on the field, it's hard to know which will garner the most attention from their QB. However, with at least five targets in all but one game this season, Pickens is likelier to have opportunities on Thursday. He probably won't do much with his catches, but he will bring in at least four passes.
BetMGM and DraftKings are offering the best price for this prop. Every other major sportsbook is asking at least -115. If you're taking an Over in this game, en sure you're not paying more than -110.
Patriots vs. Steelers player props made Wednesday at 10:41 a.m. ET
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