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Two AFC East rivals meet on Thursday Night Football for the second consecutive week as the New York Jets host the New England Patriots.
The matchup's winner will be 2-1, which both teams' fan bases would have likely signed up for before the season started.
New York is a touchdown favorite in this matchup, but my Patriots vs. Jets early leans make a case for the underdog to cover. The Jets' schedule is working against them, as this is their third game in 11 days, and each of the first two has been on the road.
My early Patriots vs. Jets prediction: Patriots +7
NFL picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Early forecasts call for rain for this Thursday Night Football clash, and sloppy weather would favor the Patriots. For the first time since 1974, New England has run for 170 or more yards in consecutive games to start a season.
Veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett has done a solid job of taking care of the football, with zero interceptions. The team has not committed a turnover through two games after going just one game without one all of last season.
This line has already bounced back and forth between +6.5 and +7 at most of the best sports betting sites, so Patriots backers should have already pounced on any +7s they could find before the line goes back down to +6.5.
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Patriots vs. Jets live odds
See the NFL odds from our b est NFL betting sites for every Week 3 game.
- Jets best odds: -275 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 73.33%
- Patriots best odds: +240 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 29.41%
There is a wide gap in New York's moneyline odds between BetMGM on the low end of the market (-275) and Caesars' -303 odds. The big price is somewhat surprising given that New England is 15-1 in the last 16 head-to-head meetings, with eight straight road wins in the series.
But bettors are smart to realize that all of that dominance was under Bill Belichick. They will likely move the lineup before kickoff as they believe the Jets will look for revenge after being dominated by their AFC East rival for much of this century.
- Jets best odds: -7 (+100) via bet365
- Patriots best odds: +7 (-110) via FanDuel
At some point between late Sunday afternoon and early Monday morning, every&n bsp;best sports betting app spent time at either -6.5 or -7. Thus, given how quickly Patriots backers bet the line down under the key number when it reached seven, there will likely never be enough betting momentum to push the line to +7.5. A touchdown spread is likely the ceiling for this line before kickoff.
- Over best odds: 38.5 (-110) via BetMGM
- Under best odds: 39 (-110) via Caesars
The Jets are coming off their fourth game in which they have scored 24 or more points since the start of last season, and with Aaron Rodgers under center, there will always be more optimism for their offense compared to what a mess their quarterback situation was last year.
However, sharp bettors typically make their wagers on totals based on weather, and if the forecasts for Thursday night continue to get worse, this line will likely plummet.
How to watch Patriots vs. Jets
- When: Th ursday, Sept. 19
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: 68 degrees, 70% chance of precipitation, wind 5 mph NE
- Favorite: Jets -7 (+100 via bet365)
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