Here are the key stats and insights you need to know about Patrick Mahomes II and his player prop bet options. He’ll take the field Sunday starting at 6:30 PM ET on CBS. The Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) and Mahomes square off against the Buffalo Bills (11-6) in the AFC Divisional Round at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York.
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Patrick Mahomes II Props for AFC Divisional Round
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills
- Time: 6:30 PM
- Date: January 21, 2024
- Passing Yards Prop: Over 257.5 (-115)
- Rushing Yards Prop: Over 27.5 (-110)
National Football League odds courtesy of BetMGM. Odds updated Tuesday at 9:43 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
Mahomes Passing Stats and Insights
- Sunday’s prop bet for Mahomes is 257.5 passing yards, 3.9 fewer than his 261.4 average for the season.
- In 16 games this year, Mahomes has exceeded 257.5 passing yards eight times.
- Mahomes’ passing yards average of 261.4 this year is less than his average prop bet total (275.7) by 14.3 yards.
- Mahomes has hit the over on his passing yards prop total in five of 16 opportunities this season.
- In 15 of 16 games this year, Mahomes completed a touchdown pass — including multiple TDs nine times.
- In 11 of 16 games this season, Mahomes has thrown an interception, with more than one pick on three occasions.
Chiefs Vs. Bills Stats and Trends
- The 196.6 passing yards the Bills yield per game makes them the NFL’s seventh-ranked pass defense this season.
- In terms of defending against the run, the Bills are 15th in the NFL, giving up 110.6 yards per game.
- The Chiefs have the sixth-ranked offense this year in terms of passing yards (246.4 passing yards per game), and they’ve been more effective on defense, ranking fourth-best with only 176.5 passing yards allowed per game.
- The Chiefs rank 19th in run offense (104.9 rushing yards per game) and 17th in run defense (113.2 rushing yards allowed per game) this year.
- This season, the Chiefs are gaining 5.7 yards per play on offense (11th in the league), while featuring the fourth-best yards per play on defense in the NFL (5).
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