Patrick Mahomes II player props, betting insights, and odds | Chiefs vs. Broncos on Week 6

Check out these betting trends and insights before placing player prop wagers on Patrick Mahomes II for Thursday’s game, which starts at 8:15 PM ET on Amazon Prime Video. AFC West foes square off in Week 6 when Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) meet the Denver Broncos (1-4) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

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Patrick Mahomes II’s Player Props vs. Broncos

  • Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
  • Time: 8:15 PM
  • Date: October 12, 2023
  • Passing Yards Prop: Over 275.5 (-115)

National Football League odds courtesy of BetMGM. Odds updated Tuesday at 7:55 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Mahomes Passing Stats and Insights

  • Mahomes’ passing yardage average this season (257.4) is 18.1 below Thursday’s over/under.
  • In five games this year, Mahomes has exceeded 275.5 passing yards twice.
  • Mahomes has fallen short of his season prop bet average (285.5 passing yards) by 28.1 yards per game.
  • Mahomes has finished above his passing yards prop total once this season.
  • Mahomes has thrown for a touchdown in all five games this season, with more than one TD pass four times.
  • Mahomes has thrown an interception in three of five games this year, with multiple picks in one of those games.

Chiefs Vs. Broncos Stats and Trends

  • The 263 yards per game the Broncos are giving up through the air makes them the NFL’s 29th-ranked pass defense.
  • Mahomes will go up against a Broncos squad that allows 187.6 rushing yards per game and is the NFL’s worst rush defense.
  • The Chiefs are compiling 258 passing yards per game on offense, which ranks them seventh in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 13th, surrendering 204.2 passing yards per contest.
  • The Chiefs are averaging 123 rushing yards per game on offense, which ranks them 12th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they rank 11th, surrendering 97.2 rushing yards per contest.
  • The Chiefs rank ninth in offensive yards per play (5.8) and seventh in yards per play allowed (5.1) this season.

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