The Florida Panthers take their 2-0 series lead on the road, as the Edmonton Oilers hope home cooking is the catalyst required to get back into the Stanley Cup Final, and we have our best Panthers-Oilers player props for Game 3 based on the best NHL odds.
Teams trailing during the Stanley Cup Final 0-2 have come back and won only five of 54 series (9%). While that's a foreboding statistic for the Edmonton Oilers, going down 0-3 is much worse, as no team has come back from a 0-3 Stanley Cup Final in 27 attempts. That's the significance of Thursday's Game 3 in Edmonton, which starts at 8 p.m. ET (ABC).
The Florida Panthers, who outscored the Oilers 7-1 on home ice in the first two encounters, enter Game 3 as underdogs for the first time in the series. However, they're Victor Wembanyama-sized Stanley Cup odds' favorites to lift the team's first Cup.
Aleksander Barkov is making good progress after suffering what looked like an injury to his jaw in Game 2, while Darnell Nurse's status for Game 3 is uncertain. Along with the below Panthers-Oilers prop NHL picks, check out our detailed Panthers vs. Oilers game 3 prediction.
Panthers vs. Oilers Game 3 player props
Odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Sergei Bobrovsky Over 25.5 saves (-110 via Betway) ????
- Connor McDavid Over 3.5 shots (-105 via Betway) ????
- Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 assists (-135 via Betway) ????
- Matthew Tkachuk Over 0.5 assists (+120 via Betway) ???
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Top Panthers vs. Oilers prop bets
Sergei Bobrovsky could have sat on a bean bag chair in the first 40 minutes of Game 2. Not just an ordinary chair that's easy to escape from, but a bean bag chair that takes minutes to shimmy your way out from.
He faced just seven shots in the first two frames, which was a stark contrast from the Game 1 proceedings. Bobrovsky's sensational Game 1 performance probably acted as a deterrent for the Oilers in Game 2, who irritatingly looked for the perfect opportunity to test the consensus Conn Smythe odds favorite rather than letting loose as they did in the opener.
Expect the Oilers to now revert to their Game 1 mentality, shooting more than Luka Doncic on a hot streak.
Of course, the Panthers' stifling defense will have something to say about the volume of Oilers shots. However, everything the Oilers have worked toward in the past five years comes down to 60 minutes, so I expect the home team to be more fired up than Conor McGregor watching the Irish footy team after a few pints.
The -110 odds imply a probability of 52.38%, and a $10 bet pays a profit of $9.09 if it hits.
Best odds: -110 via Betway
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You know Connor McDavid is going to show up for Game 3. He's about the only constant the Oilers can rely on unerringly.
The best value for McDavid going into Game 3 comes in the shots-on-goal market, as has been the case for some time. His price for scoring a point is too steep, and taking him to notch two against the Panthers is too risky, considering they haven't allowed more than two goals in five games. I rely on McDavid's shot-market Overs more than my excessively strong coffee to wake me up each morning.
McDavid will be equally angry, focused, and motivated for his first Stanley Cup Final contest on home ice, where he's been far more productive throughout the season and playoffs. Averaging 3.4 shots per game during the playoffs at Rogers Place, McDavid has been firing on goal more frequently as of late, averaging 3.8 shots over his last six contests.
Knowing Game 3 is a must-win matchup, McDavid said after the Game 2 defeat that he looks forward to proving doubters wrong, so expect his otherworldly best on Thursday. The -105 odds here represent a 51.22% probability, and a $10 bet pays a profit of $9.52.
Best odds: -105 via Betway
Evan Bouchard offers excellent value to get on the scoresheet at home. He's tallied 22 assists during the playoffs, 14 of which occurred on home ice. That's 1.56 assists per game at Rogers Place. T here was an outlier of four assists in the opening game of the playoffs against the Los Angeles Kings. Still, he's tallied 1.25 assists per home contest if you exclude that prolific outing.
Bouchard has registered 10 assists in the last seven contests in Edmonton and managed a secondary assist on the Oilers' only Game 2 goal. He's a constant threat from the point and should get a few opportunities to spark the Oilers' power play into action.
At -135, the odds imply a probability of 57.45%. A winning $10 bet pays a profit of $7.41.
Best odds: -135 via Betway
I felt compelled to add this final prop for various reasons. Matthew Tkachuk makes his playoff return to Edmonton after facing the Oilers in the second round of the 2021-22 playoffs before permanently trading his Sorel winter boots for flip flops. Although he clearly wanted to leave Calgary,&n bsp;Tkachuk prefers it over Edmonton. The Panthers' assistant captain should be even more motivated in Alberta's capital, where he was dispatched in five games during another round in the Battle of Alberta.
Also, Tkachuk has been held off the scoresheet during four straight contests, the longest dry patch of his 66 career playoff games. I wouldn't be surprised to see him notch an assist or score a goal. I'm banking on the former. At +120, you'll earn a $12 profit on a $10 bet. The odds imply a probability of 45.45%.
Best odds: +120 via Betway
Panthers vs. Oilers Game 3 odds & info
- When: Thursday, June 13
- Puck drop: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta
- How to watch: ABC, ESPN+, Sportsnet
- Favorite: Oilers (-135 via Betway)
Panthers- Oilers predictions made Tuesday at 11 a.m. ET.
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