The Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears face off in Week 10 on Thursday Night Football in a game that could go a long way in determining who gets the No. 1 pick in next year's NFL Draft, and we make our best Panthers vs. Bears predictions for Thursday Night Football based on the best NFL odds.
The Carolina Panthers (1-7) suffered their fifth double-digit season loss in Week 9 as they were toppled 27-13 by the visiting Indianapolis Colts to secure their worst start since 2010. The five losses of 10 or more points are tied for the most in the league. A victory by the Panthers in this game would leave the Arizona Cardinals as the lone one-win team in the NFL with an inside track to the first overall pick in the NFL draft.
Chicago, with a 2-7 record, is experiencing its worst start since 2016, following a 24-17 road loss to the New Orleans Saints in Week 9. Backup quarterback Tyson Bagent has faced consecutive losses after his NFL debut victory, and the Bears are now entering their final game against non-divisional opponents before a challenging three-contest stretch against NFC North rivals. Winning this game holds extra significance for the Bears, as they possess both their own and Carolina's first-round picks in the 2024 NFL Draft, and a victory would help keep Carolina tied with Arizona at the one-win mark in the standings.
Here is our best Panthers vs. Bears prediction for Thursday Night Football (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Panthers vs. Bears prediction: Thursday Night Football
We are making this wager under the assumption that Bears quarterback Justin Fields will not be healthy enough to start on a short week. The narrative surrounding Panthers rookie Bryce Young after Week 9 is how his statistics pale compared to C.J. Stroud's, who just turned in the greatest performance by a rookie quarterback ever with a record 470 passing yards and five touchdowns.
However, while Young is being ridiculed for throwing two pick-sixes last week (his third game with two-plus interceptions), he has done some good things as well, like joining Justin Herbert as the only quarterback since the merger with 20-plus completions in their first seven NFL games. In addition, Bagent has turnover issues of his own (two touchdowns and four turnovers in his three starts) and is largely responsible for the Bears having a -5 turnover margin for the first time since 2016.
Young has been sacked 14 times over the previous three games, and his wide receivers rank in the bottom five of the league in separation yards. However, the Bears have recorded just one sack over the last three games, even though newly acquired Montez Sweat had the second-best pass rush win rate of any edge rusher last week. However, Chicago's overall inability to pressure the quarterback is nothing new, as this is now the second time this season the Bears have gone consecutive games without a sack.
This is a three-star play, as Carolina's defense finally showed some life and held up well in the trenches last week. Indianapolis entered the game ranked ninth in rushing (129.0 yards per game), while Carolina had ranked 29th in rush defense (139.4 yards per game allowed). However, the Panthers held the Colts to 78 yards rushing and 2.6 yards per carry, and playing mistake-free football as they had each of the two weeks prior should lead to Carolina's first road cover (0-4 ATS) of the season.
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Panthers vs. Bears best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +3.5 | +3.5 | +3.5 | +3.5 | +3 |
| -110 | -112 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
Panthers backers have their choice of three of our best sports betting apps for the best number (three points and the hook) and the standard price of -110. If we got less than a field goal, we would likely take the moneyline and eschew the point spread odds. However, at anything more than a field goal, taking the points provides the best insurance. We are making this play as we expect positive regression out of the Panthers starting this week, as they are the only team in the NFL not to have covered multiple games this season (1-6-1 ATS, 0-4 ATS on the road).
Panthers vs. Bears odds for Thursday Night Football
Panthers vs. Bears odds analysis
DraftKings, FanDuel, and bet365 have seen the most significant line movement, opening at -2.5 and getting bet quickly to -3, but the line still pushed through the key number ov ernight into Monday morning. BetMGM and Caesars opened at -3 but still moved off the key number to -3.5. This line still has plenty of room to fluctuate based on Justin Fields' availability, but now, 65% of early wagers have backed the favorites.
Our best sports betting sites are split between an O/U of 40 and 40.5 points. FanDuel has seen its line bet down from 40.5 to 40, while DraftKings initially increased its number from 40 to 40.5 before returning to its original number. Overs are 16-10 in Bears games under head coach Matt Eberflus, which, entering last week, was the highest Over percentage of any team during the previous two seasons. There has been dead-even two-way action on the total thus far.
Thursday Night Football game info
- When: Thursday, Nov. 9 at 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
- How to watch: PRIME VIDEO
- Weather: 52 degrees, 5% chance of precipitation, wind 14 mph WNW
Panthers-Bears prediction made 11/6/2023 at 10:02 a.m. ET
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