The San Diego Padres (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Padres are 30-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 38-20 ATS.

Padres vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 5-4, 3.29 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 4-5, 4.31 ERA

Padres vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 43 games (+18.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+17.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+14.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+20.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 35 games (+18.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+18.15 Units / 41% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 45 games (+17.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 away games (+15.35 Units / 44% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 away games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 60% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 54 games (+18.39 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+14.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 30-29 against the Run Line (+3.1 Units / 4.29% ROI).

• 30-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -7.15% ROI
• 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.78% ROI
• 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -8.08% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 38-20 against the Run Line (+14.79 Units / 18.14% ROI).

• 35-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 19.28% ROI
• 24-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -16.07% ROI
• 31-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 6.99% ROI

Royals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .247 (259 PAs) this season — eighth best among qualified SPs– 91st Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.

10 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (20/64) against Dylan Cease in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.

Dylan Cease has struck out 35% (47/136) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .453 (99 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .165 (15-for-91) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 93rd Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 50% of the time (143/284) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 50% of the time (143/284) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

  
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