Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 23
Padres vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 23

The San Diego Padres (-160) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Padres vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 82-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 79-69 ATS.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 44 of his last 56 away games (+23.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 34 away games (+22.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+15.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 56 away games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • German Marquez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kyle Freeland has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Yonathan Daza has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Connor Joe 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Elias Diaz 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Charlie Blackmon 1.5 +150 1.5 -225
Connor Joe 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Elehuris Montero 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Elias Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alan Trejo 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Charlie Blackmon 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Connor Joe 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Elehuris Montero 0.5 +110 0.5 -160
Elias Diaz 0.5 +155 0.5 -225

Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Feltner 3.5 +110 3.5 -160
Sean Manaea 3.5 -140 3.5 +100

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 63 of their last 125 games (+7.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+4.90 Units / 22% ROI)

  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 22 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 65-83 against the Run Line (-24.15 Units / -13.13% ROI).

  • 82-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -5.06% ROI
  • 70-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -7.22% ROI
  • 75-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -1.15% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 79-69 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.23% ROI).

  • 63-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -3.05% ROI
  • 69-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.15 Units / -6.81% ROI
  • 72-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -2.71% ROI

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 41% of the time (1,631/4,006) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of .523 (127 Total Bases / 243 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .367 — first Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 38% of the time (1,333/3,546) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 94th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 39% of the time (371/949) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 96th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 417.9 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 398.1

Ryan Feltner has an ERA of 6.05 (80.1 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 3.80 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (164/693) against Ryan Feltner this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .404 (23-for-57) against Ryan Feltner on low fastballs this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .277 — seventh Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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