The San Diego Padres (-210) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+170) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Padres are 69-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 63-60 ATS.

Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 11-9, 3.42 ERA
• Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 3-4, 5.78 ERA

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 66.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Padres vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 50 games (+32.10 Units / 64% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+15.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+12.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 33 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 33 games (+23.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+14.20 Units / 80% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 31% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games (+15.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 61 away games (+15.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.25 Units / 30% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games at home (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 games at home (+6.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+3.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 63-60 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 3.5% ROI).

• 69-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 2.41% ROI
• 65-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 2.86% ROI
• 56-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.05 Units / -11.77% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 63-60 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -6.22% ROI).

• 45-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -7.62% ROI
• 61-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -2.91% ROI
• 59-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -6.1% ROI

Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .260 (562 PAs) this season — seventh best among qualified SPs– 91st Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season — third worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .151 (29-for-192) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .194 (136-for-702) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

19 of Dylan Cease’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .642 (129 Total Bases / 201 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .373 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .455 (20-for-44) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .533 (307 Total Bases / 576 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .401 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .408 (82-for-201) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
Read Full Article