The San Diego Padres (-105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-115) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Padres are 46-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 39-45 ATS.

Padres vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 7-6, 3.85 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 4-3, 3.49 ERA

Padres vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+37.30 Units / 266% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+13.55 Units / 75% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 away games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+11.05 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 55% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
• Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 42 away games (+12.65 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 74% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 55% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+16.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+7.50 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 45-43 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 3.54% ROI).

• 46-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -3.52% ROI
• 47-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 3.43% ROI
• 40-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.05 Units / -12.35% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 39-45 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -10.25% ROI).

• 38-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.7 Units / -14.01% ROI
• 32-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.8 Units / -22.45% ROI
• 48-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.1 Units / 14.22% ROI

Rangers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 53% of the time (150/282) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (4,442/8,074) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (15/22) against Dylan Cease — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has a strikeout rate of 42% (19 SO in 45 PAs) over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nathan Eovaldi allowed a batting average of just .129 vs right-handed batters (fifth best)– 93rd Percentile and .450 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (worst among qualified SPs)– first Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a just .226 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for seventh best)– 89th Percentile and .800 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (worst among qualified SPs)– first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .450 (9-for-20) against Nathan Eovaldi — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OPS of 1.375 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .700 — first Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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