The San Diego Padres (-110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-110) on Friday, October 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:37pm EDT in Philadelphia for this postseason game.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Padres vs Phillies Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 95-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 88-82 ATS.

Padres vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 64 away games (+15.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 away games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 58 games at home (+14.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+14.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 41 of his last 81 games (+13.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 50 of his last 86 games (+12.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 34 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Phillies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 76 of their last 146 games (+11.55 Units / 7% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 39 away games (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+8.10 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 56 games at home (+17.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 112 games (+15.53 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 120 games (+14.80 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+8.73 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games at home (+8.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 79-92 against the Run Line (-18.65 Units / -8.72% ROI).

• 95-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -3.54% ROI
• 81-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -6.31% ROI
• 85-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -2.22% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 88-82 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 0.33% ROI).

• 93-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.7% ROI
• 86-78 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.19% ROI
• 78-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -8.32% ROI

Joseph Musgrove: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .250 (17-for-68) against Joe Musgrove on the first pitch of at-bats this season – 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 – 95th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .071 (2-for-28) against Joe Musgrove – 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .237 – 97th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.4 MPH this season (490 balls in play) – 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 88.6

Joe Musgrove has thrown breaking pitches 63% of the time (1,075/1,718) with two-strikes since the start of last season – 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% – 97th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.188 (19 Total Bases / 16 ABs) this month (1 games) – 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .385 – first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (24/171) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season – 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% – 99th Percentile.

  
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