The San Diego Padres (+150) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-185) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Padres are 37-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 39-32 ATS.

Padres vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 1-3, 4.93 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 3-3, 2.99 ERA

Padres vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+23.00 Units / 575% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 47 games (+19.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+16.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+14.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 40 games (+15.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 19 games at home (+11.70 Units / 62% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.35 Units / 37% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 away games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 69% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 65% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 away games (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 53 games (+20.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 56 games (+19.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 54 games (+19.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games (+17.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 27 games at home (+17.15 Units / 33% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 36-39 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.66% ROI).

• 37-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -9.9% ROI
• 37-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -4.02% ROI
• 37-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -4.52% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 39-32 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 8.14% ROI).

• 47-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.85 Units / 11.14% ROI
• 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -9.67% ROI
• 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.65 Units / 0.83% ROI

Phillies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Randy Vasquez has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.133 (17 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .354 — second Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has allowed a slugging percentage of .957 (22 Total Bases / 23 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — second Percentile.

Randy Vasquez has allowed an OPS of 1.663 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .640 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .323 (51-for-158) against Randy Vasquez this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .241 — third Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (130/216) against Cristopher Sanchez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (33/49) against Cristopher Sanchez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (53/83) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (118/178) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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