The San Diego Padres (+100) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-120) on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.

This season, the Padres are 53-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 57-44 ATS.

Padres vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 5-9, 3.61 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 5-5, 3.93 ERA

Padres vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 32 games (+35.50 Units / 111% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+12.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• Tyler Wade has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+11.40 Units / 91% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+14.55 Units / 83% ROI)
• Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Trey Lipscomb has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.85 Units / 54% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 20 games (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.70 Units / 53% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 49 away games (+15.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.80 Units / 40% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+6.25 Units / 54% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 93 games (+11.35 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 93 games (+11.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+7.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+4.75 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+4.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 52-51 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 1.72% ROI).

• 53-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -4.94% ROI
• 53-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.36% ROI
• 49-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -8.48% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 57-44 against the Run Line (+7.43 Units / 5.66% ROI).

• 47-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 7.54% ROI
• 47-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.8 Units / -6.15% ROI
• 49-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.22 Units / -2.88% ROI

Nationals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Waldron has a strikeout rate of just 17% (30 SO in 180 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 12th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (169/825) against Matt Waldron this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 13th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .271 (45-for-166) against Matt Waldron when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 12th Percentile.

Matt Waldron has thrown off-speed pitches 64% of the time (297/467) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mitchell Parker has 25 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 10th most among pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has walked 5 of 144 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (20/120) against Mitchell Parker when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has walked 2 of 96 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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