The San Diego Padres (-275) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+220) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Padres vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 64-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 48-67 ATS.
Padres vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 39 away games (+20.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+16.75 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+15.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 40 games (+15.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 35 games (+8.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 49 of their last 91 games (+11.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 58 away games (+2.65 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 102 games (+19.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+7.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+4.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.40 Units / 8% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 54-62 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -7.62% ROI).
- 64-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -2.58% ROI
- 55-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -6.4% ROI
- 58-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -2.36% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 48-67 against the Run Line (-27.4 Units / -19.45% ROI).
- 38-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.2 Units / -17.77% ROI
- 57-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 0.82% ROI
- 51-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -8.74% ROI
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 42 of 232 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 19 of 86 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.9 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (94 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of just .147 (21 Total Bases / 143 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.
Paolo Espino: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .175 (7-for-40) against Paolo Espino on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 100th Percentile.
Paolo Espino has not allowed a walk in his last 71 PAs against a LHH dating back to June 29th — Garrett Whitlock has the longest active streak at 86.
Paolo Espino has walked 4 of 142 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Paolo Espino has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to July 16th — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 8.