The San Diego Padres (-250) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+200) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Padres vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 63-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 47-66 ATS.

Padres vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 37 away games (+18.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+13.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 54% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+13.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+13.05 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 43 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
• Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.75 Units / 45% ROI)
• Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)

Nationals vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 48 of their last 89 games (+11.25 Units / 12% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 away games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 56 away games (+2.45 Units / 4% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.40 Units / 4% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 60 of their last 100 games (+20.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+7.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 53-61 against the Run Line (-9.95 Units / -7.11% ROI).

• 63-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -1.2% ROI
• 54-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -6.5% ROI
• 57-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -2.29% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 47-66 against the Run Line (-28.1 Units / -20.24% ROI).

• 37-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.9 Units / -19.52% ROI
• 56-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 0.84% ROI
• 50-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -8.79% ROI

Michael Clevinger: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 11% (3/27) against Mike Clevinger — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (6/38) against Mike Clevinger — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (6/38) against Mike Clevinger this month (2 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 11% (3/27) against Mike Clevinger this month (2 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Cory Abbott: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cory Abbott has walked 7 of 43 batters (16%) this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Cory Abbott has allowed an OBP of .409 (22 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — third Percentile.

Cory Abbott has allowed a slugging percentage of .773 (17 Total Bases / 22 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (8/29) against Cory Abbott this month (2 games) — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

  
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