The San Diego Padres (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Padres vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 7-5 ATS.
Padres vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Mets and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+9.40 Units / 102% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+6.15 Units / 77% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Eduardo Escobar has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Mets vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Austin Nola | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mark Canha | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Mets vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Austin Nola | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Mark Canha | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Mets vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Tommy Pham | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Austin Nola | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Mark Canha | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tylor Megill | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 30% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.32 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 7-5 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 6.61% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -1.13% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -5.86% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -3.13% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 7-5 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 24.46% ROI).
- 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -9.24% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -4.87% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -3.83% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 55% (206/374) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell had a strike rate of just 57% (443/770) over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 44% (28/63) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 11 of 65 right-handed batters (17%) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tylor Megill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 45% (17/38) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 54% (76/141) in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (45/141) against Tylor Megill in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.