The San Diego Padres (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Padres vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Padres are 7-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 7-5 ATS.

Padres vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+9.40 Units / 102% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+6.15 Units / 77% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 90% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 40% ROI)
• Eduardo Escobar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 48% ROI)
• Eduardo Escobar has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.60 Units / 51% ROI)
• Eduardo Escobar has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)

Mets vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.05 Units / 52% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 49% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 43% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 30% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.32 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 41% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 7-5 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 6.61% ROI).

• 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -1.13% ROI
• 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -5.86% ROI
• 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -3.13% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 7-5 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 24.46% ROI).

• 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -9.24% ROI
• 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -4.87% ROI
• 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -3.83% ROI

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 55% (206/374) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Blake Snell had a strike rate of just 57% (443/770) over the last 30 days of the regular season (8 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Blake Snell has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 44% (28/63) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 11 of 65 right-handed batters (17%) — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tylor Megill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 45% (17/38) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 54% (76/141) in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (45/141) against Tylor Megill in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

  
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