The San Diego Padres (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-140) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Padres vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Padres are 6-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 7-4 ATS.

Padres vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 away games (+4.90 Units / 104% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+2.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• Wil Myers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 away games (+1.15 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 110% ROI)
• Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Travis Jankowski has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
• Dominic Smith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Singles Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+1.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Mets vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 66% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 45% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.80 Units / 22% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.37 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 55% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 56% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.66% ROI).

• 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -8.36% ROI
• 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 2.8% ROI
• 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -11.91% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 7-4 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 34.11% ROI).

• 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.35% ROI
• 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 4.1% ROI
• 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -12.5% ROI

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Weathers has thrown his changeup 53% of the time (17/32) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has induced opposing hitters to ground into 1 double play in 3 opportunities (33%) this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (28/72) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has located his pitches away 58% of the time (52/90) this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 94th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 33% (10/30) of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (203/398) of opposing batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has a strike rate of just 59% (949/1,617) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

  
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