The San Diego Padres (-155) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+125) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Padres vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 65-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 52-64 ATS.

Padres vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 41 away games (+22.20 Units / 31% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+19.15 Units / 67% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 27 away games (+15.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+13.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.55 Units / 56% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 24 games (+19.30 Units / 49% ROI)
• Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• Brian Anderson has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 32 games at home (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games at home (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 51 of their last 93 games (+13.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+2.65 Units / 3% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 26% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 55-63 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -7.48% ROI).

• 65-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -2.78% ROI
• 55-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -8.03% ROI
• 60-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -0.8% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 52-64 against the Run Line (-22.3 Units / -14.31% ROI).

• 51-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -13.32% ROI
• 50-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -12.41% ROI
• 60-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 4.33% ROI

Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .128 (29-for-226) against Sean Manaea with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 91st Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .263 (51-for-194) against Sean Manaea’s non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 29% (103/349) against Sean Manaea this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 86th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .206 (26 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — 97th Percentile.

Edward Cabrera: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 29 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Edward Cabrera. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 35.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 77% (10/13) against Edward Cabrera — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has pitched 10.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Chris Bassitt has the longest active streak at 24.1.

Edward Cabrera has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 11.1 innings pitched — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 21.1.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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