The San Diego Padres (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Padres are 82-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 62-83 ATS.

Padres vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 12-8, 3.13 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 7-2, 2.37 ERA

Padres vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 36 games (+35.40 Units / 98% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+14.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+14.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+12.30 Units / 57% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 44 games (+11.35 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 15 games at home (+29.30 Units / 195% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games at home (+13.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+11.00 Units / 48% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+14.65 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 69 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 71 away games (+14.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 69 games at home (+16.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 70 games at home (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 65 games at home (+6.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games at home (+6.05 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 60 games at home (+5.45 Units / 8% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 73-73 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.19% ROI).

• 82-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 1.42% ROI
• 80-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.05 Units / 6.3% ROI
• 64-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.85 Units / -15.35% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 62-83 against the Run Line (-24.85 Units / -13.77% ROI).

• 73-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -9.48% ROI
• 65-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.4 Units / -9.11% ROI
• 73-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.04% ROI

Mariners vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.4 MPH this season (394 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.1 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (331 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 87.2

Michael King has walked 58 of 657 batters (9%) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 16th Percentile.

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.0 MPH since last season (657 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 89.1

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryan Woo has walked 9 of 381 batters (2%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (74/260) against Bryan Woo against right-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .228 (381 PA’s) this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.

Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .175 (211 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 96th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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