The San Diego Padres (-115) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-105) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Padres are 82-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 72-75 ATS.
Padres vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 12-11, 3.72 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 12-9, 3.46 ERA
Padres vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 37 games (+34.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+15.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+14.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 away games (+11.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 24 away games (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 50 games (+30.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jerar Encarnacion has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+14.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 70 games (+13.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 72 away games (+13.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+7.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 70 games at home (+4.35 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 63 of their last 115 games (+4.15 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 70 games at home (+3.30 Units / 4% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 73-74 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 0.63% ROI).
- 82-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.86% ROI
- 80-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.05 Units / 6.25% ROI
- 64-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.85 Units / -15.25% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 72-75 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -4.81% ROI).
- 72-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -7.15% ROI
- 74-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 0.4% ROI
- 67-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -8.91% ROI
Giants vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
Giants vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Donovan Solano (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Donovan Solano (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb (SF) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .159 (36-for-227) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 98th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 94 of 844 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 61 of 556 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (35-for-314) against Dylan Cease when ahead in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .189 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 44% (41 SO in 93 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (327/573) against Logan Webb this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (141/472) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (129/671) against Logan Webb this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.