The San Diego Padres (+100) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.

This season, the Padres are 90-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 77-79 ATS.

Padres vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 12-9, 3.06 ERA
• Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 3-4, 3.40 ERA

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 46 games (+31.50 Units / 68% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 27 of his last 49 games (+14.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.15 Units / 49% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+22.50 Units / 205% ROI)
• Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+15.20 Units / 51% ROI)
• Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+13.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani has hit the Walks Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 18% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+11.25 Units / 59% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 79 games (+20.30 Units / 18% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 75 away games (+14.65 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 away games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 78 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)

Dodgers Best Bets Today:

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+21.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 79-77 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 2.69% ROI).

• 90-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 3.96% ROI
• 81-71 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 1.99% ROI
• 71-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.95 Units / -10.96% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 77-79 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -4.02% ROI).

• 93-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -4.15% ROI
• 86-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.45 Units / 8.43% ROI
• 65-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.7 Units / -17.25% ROI

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King has a strikeout rate of 34% (91 SO in 270 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Michael King has walked 24 of 270 batters (9%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 19th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 34% (157/458) against Michael King when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.6 MPH this season (425 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 88.9

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/34) against Landon Knack this month (3 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 41% — third Percentile.

Landon Knack has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 14 opportunities (0%) this month (3 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 19th Percentile.

Landon Knack has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 81% (34/42) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.

Landon Knack has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (4 Total Bases / 32 ABs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 90th Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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