The San Diego Padres (+190) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Tuesday, October 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:37pm EDT in Los Angeles for Game 1 of the NL Division Series.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Padres are 91-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 97-65 ATS.

Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s NLDS matchup with 58.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 62 away games (+13.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Mike Clevinger has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 47% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+15.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Julio Urias has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
• Tony Gonsolin has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 50% ROI)

Dodgers vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Dodgers vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 73 of their last 140 games (+12.05 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 away games (+6.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 96 of their last 159 games (+27.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 89 games (+17.95 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+16.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 43% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 75-90 against the Run Line (-21.45 Units / -10.39% ROI).

• 91-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.5 Units / -4.64% ROI
• 77-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -7.56% ROI
• 83-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -0.88% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 97-65 against the Run Line (+26.25 Units / 13.34% ROI).

• 111-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 1.78% ROI
• 67-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.65 Units / -14.39% ROI
• 84-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.95 Units / 5.58% ROI

Michael Clevinger: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mike Clevinger has allowed a slugging percentage of .635 (33 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .427 — sixth Percentile.

Mike Clevinger has not walked any of the 21 batters that he has faced this month (1 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .272 (56-for-206) against Mike Clevinger in non-two strike counts this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .328 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (71/208) against Mike Clevinger in non-two strike counts this season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 10th Percentile.

Julio Urias: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 73% (912/1,250) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.7 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (152 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 87.9

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 72% (1,048/1,461) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Julio Urias has a strike rate of 69% (1,807/2,622) this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 93rd Percentile.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

  
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