The San Diego Padres (+130) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) on Friday, August 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Padres are 61-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 64-41 ATS.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 70.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Yu Darvish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 36 away games (+11.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 away games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 52 of his last 102 games (+18.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 54 games (+12.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games at home (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 42 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 83 games (+11.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 53 away games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 away games (+5.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 56% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 63 of their last 102 games (+21.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+15.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 63 of their last 101 games (+14.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 105 games (+11.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 51-57 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -5.14% ROI).
- 61-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.55% ROI
- 50-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -8.43% ROI
- 55-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -0.37% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 64-41 against the Run Line (+19.6 Units / 15.67% ROI).
- 72-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 1.6% ROI
- 40-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.85 Units / -18.93% ROI
- 56-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 9.8% ROI
Sean Manaea: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 17% (22/133) against Sean Manaea when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .198 (23 Total Bases / 116 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has a strikeout rate of 47% (111 SO in 235 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 84th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .120 (25-for-208) against Sean Manaea with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 96th Percentile.
Anthony Gonsolin: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .132 (32-for-242) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .178 (66-for-370) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .128 (45-for-351) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed an OBP of just .166 (229 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — 98th Percentile.