The San Diego Padres (+110) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-130) on Sunday, February 25, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa, AZ.
Last season, the Padres were 82-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs were 81-81 ATS.
Padres vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brett Sullivan has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+5.40 Units / 180% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.75 Units / 188% ROI)
- Matt Mervis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 77 away games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Padres went 81-81 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -2.96% ROI).
- 82-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.75 Units / -11.1% ROI
- 66-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.75 Units / -16.5% ROI
- 86-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.45 Units / 8.19% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Cubs went 81-81 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -1.61% ROI).
- 83-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -2.61% ROI
- 80-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -3.26% ROI
- 77-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -6.04% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez has limited playing time.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (174/387) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Javier Assad threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (148/318) of the time in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted just .130 (13-for-100) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 3rd best among in NL; League Avg: .234 — 97th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 35% of Javier Assad’s non-fastballs (136/387) in the 2023 season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.