Padres vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 26
Padres vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 26

The San Diego Padres (-110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-110) on Wednesday, April 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Padres vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Padres are 12-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 14-8 ATS.

Padres vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Padres vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Padres vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+17.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+14.40 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Eric Hosmer has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.45 Units / 60% ROI)

Cubs vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Austin Nola 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Ian Happ 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Cubs vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Austin Nola 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Nico Hoerner 1.5 +150 1.5 -200
Ian Happ 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Cubs vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Austin Nola 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Ian Happ 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Cubs vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Smyly 4.5 -115 4.5 -115
Michael Wacha 4.5 +100 4.5 -130

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+1.40 Units / 8% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+9.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 12-13 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -12.08% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -12.68% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 3.87% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 14-8 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 23.8% ROI).

  • 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 22.79% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 3.29% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -13.64% ROI

Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of .950 (19 Total Bases / 20 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .441 — first Percentile.

Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (53/108) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (121/663) against Michael Wacha since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of 1.426 (21 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .768 — second Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Drew Smyly has located his fastball inside 60% of the time (93/155) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters batted just .000 (0-for-16) against Drew Smyly — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .215 — 100th Percentile..

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 54% of the time (54/101) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

  
Read Full Article