The San Diego Padres (+105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-125) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Padres vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 12-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 13-8 ATS.
Padres vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,000 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Rougned Odor has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+14.40 Units / 101% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 12-12 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -6.13% ROI).
- 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -12.5% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -8.6% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 13-8 against the Run Line (+4.7 Units / 18.01% ROI).
- 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 19.75% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 8.89% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -18.75% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 55% (157/284) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.062 (17 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .424 — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 49 of 303 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.353 (23 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .641 — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (16/22) against Justin Steele in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .065 (3-for-46) against Justin Steele with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .172 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .119 (8-for-67) against Justin Steele this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .252 — 98th Percentile.