The Green Bay Packers (7-8) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (7-5) on Dec. 31. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this Week 17 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Packers vs. Vikings Over/Under is 46.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Vikings Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 17 game with 55.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.
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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this Week 17 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+6.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 7-8 (-1.8 Units / -10.84% ROI).
- Packers are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 2.06% ROI
- Packers are 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Packers are 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings went 7-5 (+1.55 Units / 9.42% ROI).
- Vikings are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -1.57% ROI
- Vikings are 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Vikings are 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Packers are 3-2 (.600) vs top 10 run offenses this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .400.
The Packers are 2-7 (.222) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.
The Packers are 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .433.
The Packers are 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 7 explosive plays this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .639.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Vikings were undefeated (9-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Vikings are 10-3 (.769) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — 8th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average of 138.7 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Vikings were undefeated (9-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .577.
The Vikings are winless (0-6) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .153.