The Green Bay Packers visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Pittsburgh.
The Steelers are betting favorites in this Week 10 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-120).
The Packers vs. Steelers Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Steelers Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this Week 10 game with 67.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Packers and Steelers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this Week 10 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Romeo Doubs | 37.5 -110 | 37.5 -120 |
| Jayden Reed | 24.5 -120 | 24.5 -110 |
| Luke Musgrave | 26.5 -115 | 26.5 -115 |
| Connor Heyward | 20.5 -110 | 20.5 -120 |
| George Pickens | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 51.5 -120 | 51.5 -110 |
| Najee Harris | 54.5 -120 | 54.5 -115 |
| Jordan Love | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+4.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.52% ROI).
- Packers are 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -21.43% ROI
- Packers are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Packers are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers went 5-3 (+1.8 Units / 20.34% ROI).
- Steelers are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 38.04% ROI
- Steelers are 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
- Steelers are 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Packers are winless (0-3) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .404.
The Packers are 2-5 (.286) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .466.
The Packers are winless (0-4) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .436.
The Packers are 2-3 (.400) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .510.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Steelers are 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average of 135.4 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-worst in NFL.
The Steelers are 17-6-1 (.708) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Steelers are winless (0-4) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .125.
The Steelers are winless (0-6-1) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .129.