The Green Bay Packers are trying to enhance their playoff chances against the New York Giants in an NFL Monday Night Football doubleheader, and we provide our top predictions for the Packers vs. Giants Monday Night Football matchup based on the best NFL odds at our best sportsbooks.
Sitting at .500 for the first time since Week 4, the Green Bay Packers (6-6) are enjoying a season-best three-game winning streak. Notably, their recent victories include matchups against formidable opponents, namely the division-leading Detroit Lions and the Kansas City Chiefs. Although a win in this game may not significantly impact the Super Bowl odds, it would undoubtedly contribute to Green Bay's postseason aspirations.
The New York Giants, at 4-8, have gained momentum with a two-game winning streak, capitalizing on a timely bye week after their 10-7 victory over the New England Patriots in Week 12. Quarterback Tommy Devito, boasting a 2-1 record as a starter, has stood out among the Giants' quarterbacks this season, leading the team to both victories while the collective quarterback lineup holds a 2-7 record. Devito's impact has been pronounced, showcasing his influence as the team's signal-caller and significantly contributing to the Giants' recent successes.
In addition to our NFL Week 14 predictions and NFL Week 14 player props and best bets, and our Jordan Love player props and Packers-Giants props, here is our best Packers vs. Giants prediction for Monday Night Football (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Packers vs. Giants prediction: Monday Night Football
Public perception makes up a lot of our decision-making when picking games, and the public just saw Green Bay defeat the defending Super Bowl champions on national television last week. On the other hand, the Giants were out of the public eye on a bye week last week and were slogging their way through a brutal defensive struggle against the AFC's worst team in their previous game. Thus, the sportsbooks will likely need a Giants cover this week, and that is precisely the side we wish to be on.
There is no denying Packers quarterback Jordan Love's stellar play of late, following up a 91 Total QBR through the first two games of the team's winning streak with a 90.3 QBR against Kansas City last week. Green Bay started last week's game with two 75-yard touchdown drives, the first time all season that the Chiefs allowed touchdowns on t he first two possessions. However, Green Bay also benefited from a Chiefs offense that continues to struggle, as their wide receivers' 106 receiving yards were their third-lowest of the season, and Patrick Mahomes was off target on a season-worst 26% of his passes.
New York has nine takeaways during its two-game winning streak and is coming off consecutive games with three or more interceptions for the first time since 2015. Considering Love threw 10 interceptions through the first nine games, six of which came in road starts, the Giants have an avenue to stay in the game if they can rattle the first-year starter. And for those that are ready to ridicule the choice to start Tommy DeVito at quarterback despite Tyrod Taylor returning from IR, know that in a much smaller sample size of three games, DeVito has the same winning percentage as Patrick Mahomes this season, a 2.3 TD-INT ratio compared to Mahomes' 2.2, and has averaged 10.6 yards per completion which is better than Mahomes' 10.4 average.
Green Bay covered the spread in its only game as a favorite this season (a 20-3 win over the Los Angeles Rams as 3.5-point favorites). Still, the fact that the Packers have only been favored in one of 12 games suggests that they are slightly overvalued in this matchup despite their recent success. Thus, we are backing the Giants as a three-star play despite New York entering the week with the second-worst point differential in the league (-133).
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Packers vs. Giants best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +6.5 | +6.5 | +6.5 | +6.5 | +6.5 |
| -108 | -105 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
DraftKings and FanDuel are the only two of our best sports betting apps charging less than the standard -110 juice to back the Giants at +6.5, but FanDuel offers the best value at -105.
At those lower odds, it is enticing to take advantage of the alternate spread of +7.5 for -142, but given our belief that Green Bay will be a popular favorite, we would rather wait and see if the line gets to at least +7 on its own. However, we are not advising taking New York on the moneyline at our best sports betting apps (the best odds are the +260 found at FanDuel), as since 2017, the Giants are 9-40 SU when not playing at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday.
Packers vs. Giants odds for Monday Night Football
Packers vs. Giants odds analysis
FanDuel and bet365 opened the lowest of our best sports betti ng sites, with Green Bay at -5.5, while all others got to their current lines from an opening number of -6. Caesars and DraftKings were the only two shops that briefly got to +7 on Tuesday afternoon, but Giants backers weighed in quickly at that number and drove the line back down to -6.5. The Packers are getting nearly two-thirds of the point spread action thus far, with 65% of the early wagers.
FanDuel is the only one of our best sportsbooks offering a total as high as 37.5, as all others are in unison at 37. While all its other competitors opened higher at 38 on Sunday night, FanDuel started the week with a slightly lower opening number of 37, so it is the only shop where the line movement has gone towards the Over. There is almost a 3/1 split thus far, as 73% of the wagers have backed the Over.
Monday Night Football game info
- When: Monday, Dec. 11 at 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Met Life Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- How to watch: ABC/ESPN+
- Weather: 47 degrees, 22% chance of precipitation, wind 13 mph W
Packers-Giants prediction made 12/6/2023 at 8:53 a.m. ET.
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