The Green Bay Packers visit Empower Field at Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Denver.
The Packers are betting favorites in this Week 7 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Packers vs. Broncos Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Broncos Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 7 game with 50.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Broncos will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Packers and Broncos, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this Week 7 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Best Broncos Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Broncos players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Courtland Sutton has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+4.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have scored last in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.90 Units / 28% ROI)
Broncos Best Bets:
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Denver Broncos have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.41% ROI).
- Packers are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -17% ROI
- Packers are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Packers are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI
Broncos Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Broncos went 0-5 (-5.55 Units / -83.46% ROI).
- Broncos are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -70% ROI
- Broncos are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Broncos are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Broncos
The Packers are winless (0-7) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .125.
The Packers are winless (0-4) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .117.
The Packers are winless (0-4) after a home loss since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .470.
The Packers are 2-3 (.400) this season — tied for 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Denver Broncos: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Broncos are winless (0-5) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Broncos are 1-5 (.167) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .480.
The Broncos are winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .360.
The Broncos are 1-10 (.091) on the road since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .445.