The Green Bay Packers (3-4) visit Highmark Stadium to take on the Buffalo Bills (5-1) on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EDT in Orchard Park for Sunday Night Football.
The Bills are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Packers vs. Bills Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Bills Prediction for Week 8
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bills will win this Week 8 game with 81.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread this Week 8 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Packers and Bills, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Aaron Rodgers has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Robert Tonyan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Marcedes Lewis has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Sammy Watkins has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Best Bills Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bills players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gabriel Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Devin Singletary has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Josh Allen has hit the TD Passes Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- Zack Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 43% ROI)
Packers Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Bills Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have scored first in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Buffalo Bills have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 46% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers have gone 2-5 (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).
- Packers are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -36.63% ROI
- Packers are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Packers are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / ROI
Bills Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bills have gone 4-1 (+2.9 Units / 43.61% ROI).
- Bills are 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 15.08% ROI
- Bills are 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
- Bills are 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills
The Packers are 1-4 (.200) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Packers are 14-1 (.933) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .600.
The Packers are 4-1 (.800) when passing for more than 300 yards since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .548.
The Packers are 12-4 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .562.