The Baltimore Orioles (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Friday, September 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Orioles vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 80-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 70-85 ATS.
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 27 away games (+15.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+15.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 52 away games (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 72 games at home (+18.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+8.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 96-60 against the Run Line (+23.15 Units / 11.24% ROI).
- 80-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.6 Units / 14.5% ROI
- 70-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -17 Units / -9.91% ROI
- 80-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 1.88% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 70-85 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -9.42% ROI).
- 96-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 0.98% ROI
- 74-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -5.56% ROI
- 76-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -3.47% ROI
Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .280 (192-for-685) against Jordan Lyles this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — sixth Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has struck out just 17% (69/411) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — eighth Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed 14 home runs with two-strikes this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .421 (146 Total Bases / 347 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 0 Percentile.
Domingo German: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Domingo German since the start of last season is 381.4 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 399.0
Domingo German has allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (65 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on fastballs away since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 0 Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (522/1,348) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (600/1,798) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.