Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 26
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 26

The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Thursday, September 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 88-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 82-76 ATS.

Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 15-8, 2.95 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 7-5, 3.67 ERA

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games (+36.50 Units / 174% ROI)
  • Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+17.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 47 games (+26.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+17.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+15.00 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 19 games at home (+12.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 83 games (+18.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 149 games (+15.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 111 games (+14.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 away games (+4.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 101 games (+18.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 124 games (+13.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 84-74 against the Run Line (+15.7 Units / 8.26% ROI).

  • 88-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -3.27% ROI
  • 84-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.45 Units / 10.11% ROI
  • 61-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.35 Units / -18.13% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 82-76 against the Run Line (+9.9 Units / 5.2% ROI).

  • 92-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -4.66% ROI
  • 83-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 3.78% ROI
  • 69-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.15 Units / -12.77% ROI

Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Aaron Judge (NYY)
0.5 +260 0.5 -350

Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)
0.5 +320 0.5 -400

Anthony Santander (BAL)
0.5 +340 0.5 -450

Juan Soto (NYY)
0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Gunnar Henderson (BAL)
0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Jordan Westburg (BAL)
0.5 -250 0.5 +185

Gleyber Torres (NYY)
0.5 -250 0.5 +180

Gunnar Henderson (BAL)
0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Aaron Judge (NYY)
0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Adley Rutschman (BAL)
0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Aaron Judge (NYY)
0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)
0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Austin Wells (NYY)
0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Anthony Santander (BAL)
0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Gunnar Henderson (BAL)
0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Corbin Burnes (BAL)
5.5 -145 5.5 +110

Gerrit Cole (NYY)
6.5 -120 6.5 -105

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 68% of the time (156/231) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 39 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 75% of the time (174/231) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (498/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .576 (727 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .208 (141-for-677) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 91st Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .582 — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .260 (726 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 95th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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