Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 24
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 24

The Baltimore Orioles (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Orioles are 86-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 82-74 ATS.

Orioles vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 7-10, 4.15 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 5-4, 2.36 ERA

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+30.00 Units / 158% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Runs Under in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 46 games (+11.60 Units / 17% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 45 games (+24.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+16.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+15.00 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.80 Units / 148% ROI)

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 81 games (+20.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 78 of their last 147 games (+13.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 109 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 55 away games (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 99 games (+17.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 122 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 82-74 against the Run Line (+13.7 Units / 7.34% ROI).

  • 86-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -4.42% ROI
  • 83-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.45 Units / 9.66% ROI
  • 61-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.25 Units / -17.71% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 82-74 against the Run Line (+11.9 Units / 6.32% ROI).

  • 92-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -3.53% ROI
  • 82-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 3.25% ROI
  • 69-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.05 Units / -12.28% ROI

Yankees vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Aaron Judge (NYY)
0.5 +290 0.5 -375

Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)
0.5 +340 0.5 -450

Juan Soto (NYY)
0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Anthony Santander (BAL)
0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Gunnar Henderson (BAL)
0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Yankees vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Jordan Westburg (BAL)
0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Gleyber Torres (NYY)
0.5 -250 0.5 +175

Gunnar Henderson (BAL)
0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Aaron Judge (NYY)
0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)
0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Yankees vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Aaron Judge (NYY)
0.5 +135 0.5 -185

Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)
0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Austin Wells (NYY)
0.5 +155 0.5 -200

Anthony Santander (BAL)
0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Jordan Westburg (BAL)
0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Yankees vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Clarke Schmidt (NYY)
5.5 -145 5.5 +110

Dean Kremer (BAL)
5.5 +110 5.5 -145

Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (69/362) against Dean Kremer this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (11/83) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .286 (129-for-451) against Dean Kremer when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .247 — seventh Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clarke Schmidt had an average spin rate of 2627.0 RPM on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 2239.5 — 100th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt in the 2023 season was 382.5 feet — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since last season is 383.7 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 398.5

Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2611.6 RPM on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 2236.5 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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