The Baltimore Orioles (+185) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-225) on Saturday, October 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Orioles vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 81-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 70-86 ATS.
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 31 away games (+15.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 away games (+15.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games (+13.70 Units / 71% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+10.10 Units / 92% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 137 games (+30.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 137 games (+25.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 52 of their last 90 games (+13.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 away games (+10.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 73 games at home (+16.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+9.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.35 Units / 39% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 97-60 against the Run Line (+24.15 Units / 11.65% ROI).
- 81-76 when betting on the Moneyline for +26.15 Units / 15.32% ROI
- 70-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -10.43% ROI
- 81-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 2.44% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 70-86 against the Run Line (-18.1 Units / -9.92% ROI).
- 96-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.36% ROI
- 74-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.45 Units / -6.11% ROI
- 77-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -2.86% ROI
Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .390 (46-for-118) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (72/235) against Austin Voth since the start of last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .214 (75-for-350) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .158 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (78/247) against Austin Voth on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 55% of the time (526/966) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 58% of the time (346/592) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total SL; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 52% of the time (1,376/2,647) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 62% of the time (264/427) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.