The Baltimore Orioles (-275) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+220) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Orioles are 30-18 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 23-28 ATS.
Orioles vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 4-2, 2.58 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-4, 5.53 ERA
Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 81.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+18.80 Units / 94% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.35 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+14.10 Units / 94% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+7.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 33 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 39 games (+3.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+3.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 24-24 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 6.58% ROI).
- 30-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 6% ROI
- 24-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 8.44% ROI
- 18-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -16.67% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 23-28 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -14.52% ROI).
- 15-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -29.34% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -10.37% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 1.74% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (46/71) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 61% of the time (188/309) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 65% of the time (356/545) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (32/47) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .407 (11-for-27) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .213 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .704 (19 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .362 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .552 (191 Total Bases / 346 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .415 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .379 (39-for-103) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 0 Percentile.