Orioles vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 16
Orioles vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 16

The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-140) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Orioles vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Orioles are 8-7 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-8 ATS.

Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.75 Units / 129% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.50 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+6.75 Units / 135% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.20 Units / 155% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 38% ROI)

White Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500
Seby Zavala 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

White Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 -140 0.5 +105
Seby Zavala 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

White Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Seby Zavala 0.5 +270 0.5 -375
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +225 0.5 -300

White Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Cease 6.5 -155 6.5 +120
Grayson Rodriguez 5.5 +100 5.5 -130

  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+1.45 Units / 17% ROI)

  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.30 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.85 Units / 40% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -3.97% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 2.3% ROI
  • 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 33.14% ROI
  • 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -40.92% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 7-8 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -11.03% ROI).

  • 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -20.23% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 28.66% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -35.74% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (4/16) against Grayson Rodriguez in two-strike counts this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.2 innings pitched — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 28.0.

Opponents are hitting .333 (9-for-27) against Grayson Rodriguez with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .180 — first Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has thrown fastballs up 79% of the time (23/29) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 57% — 96th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .040 (1-for-25) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .026 (1-for-38) against Dylan Cease with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .173 — 98th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has walked 85 of 816 batters (10%) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

  
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