Orioles vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 14
Orioles vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 14

The Baltimore Orioles (-175) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+145) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Orioles are 83-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 78-69 ATS.

Orioles vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 13-8, 3.19 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Orioles vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Orioles vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • James McCann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+9.70 Units / 194% ROI)
  • Corbin Burnes has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Corbin Burnes has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 7 games (+7.40 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andy Ibanez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jace Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jake Rogers has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 11 games at home (+6.60 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 79-68 against the Run Line (+16.55 Units / 9.35% ROI).

  • 83-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -2.49% ROI
  • 78-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.9 Units / 9.93% ROI
  • 57-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.8 Units / -17.88% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 78-69 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 0.94% ROI).

  • 75-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.2% ROI
  • 73-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.38% ROI
  • 66-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.3 Units / -9% ROI

Tigers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1100
Jake Rogers (DET) 0.5 +775 0.5 -1400
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +850 0.5 -1600
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600

Tigers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Parker Meadows (DET) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Tigers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Wenceel Perez (DET) 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Tigers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Burnes (BAL) 5.5 -145 5.5 +110

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 67% of the time (330/493) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .294 (227 Total Bases / 773 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (471/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 68% of the time (498/729) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (7/41) against Brenan Hanifee over the last 14 days — 11th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 27% — 10th Percentile.

Brenan Hanifee has a strikeout rate of 39% (7 SO in 18 PAs) over the last 14 days — tied for 6th best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.

Brenan Hanifee has a strike rate of 72% (54/75) over the last 14 days — 4th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.

Brenan Hanifee has not allowed a home run in any of the last 20.1 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 83.1.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

  
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